Really wondering whether there already are derivatives markets on COVID-19. Could one bet on the number of confirmed cases in a certain place? Say, would it ever hit 100 in Antarctica? Are such markets legal? How would these products be priced and settled?
Mike Linksvayer likes this.
As far as I know (would love to learn otherwise) only with play money eg https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV https://pandemic.metaculus.com/questions/
Mike Linksvayer at 2020-04-29T02:42:19Z
Tyng-Ruey Chuang likes this.
Another play money like instance (maybe with $ prizes?) https://goodjudgment.io/covid/dashboard/
Mike Linksvayer at 2020-04-29T05:34:40Z
Tyng-Ruey Chuang likes this.
Amazing! Thanks!